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It s Not Rocket Science

has posted odds offering bettors the chanceRandy Johnson keeps looking his age, can
to predict which Major League Baseball teamGeorge Steinbrenner make Roger Clemens an
Roger Clemens will return to. Clemens isoffer he can't refuse? Could happen, but
clearly enjoying the attention he isGeorge will never let Clemens skip road trips
garnering from his four suitors. Let's takein fear that all of his stable of superstars
a look at how Clemens has played thiswill demand the same special treatment. At
situation thus far, and how it will play out1:2,  this  is  not  a  good  bet.
at  the  end.
FINISH  WHERE  HE  STARTED
THE  EASY  MARK:
Imagine the nostalgic feeling of coming back
Roger Clemens enjoyed opening day inwhere you began your career, and leading that
Arlington Stadium, sitting next to owner Tomteam to a World Series. What a perfect
Hicks. When Clemens was introduced and shownsymmetry to a career. Almost like a movie
on the scoreboard, the fans went crazy. Doscript. Only the impact of leading the Red
the Rangers, who have gone all these yearsSox to a World Series is not nearly what it
searching for pitching, really have a shot atwas two years ago. The Red Sox already have
Roger Clemens? Well, the Rangers are anhad a hero who started in their organization
improved team, with Kevin Millwood leadingcome back and lead them to the Promised Land.
some young up-and-coming pitchers. And itAnd that hero wore a bloody Red Sock. How can
would do wonders for Clemens' legend to rideClemens possibly top that? Besides, if the
into Arlington on his horse and lead them toRed Sox really get close, Mr. Steinbrenner
their first World Series. Is it going tomay very well make him an offer he can't
happen? No. Why would Clemens pitch in arefuse. At 1:1, I just can't see this as a
hitter's park for a team which, despite theirgood  bet.
improvements, is not a serious World Series
contender? More likely, Roger was payingFINISH  WHAT  HE  STARTED
attention when Tom Hicks bid against himself
to sign Alex Rodriguez to hisThe first year, Clemens led the Astros to the
franchise-crippling $250 million dollarplayoffs. His second year, he helped them to
contract. This is exactly the type of guy youtheir first World Series. Why not finish
want to draw into the bidding. has the oddswhat he started? The Astros are off to a
on Clemens going to the Rangers at 6-1. Trustgreat start. Besides, the Mets, Cardinals
me,  it's  far  longer  than  that.and, possibly the Phillies, who can you
remotely predict can stop them from at least
AN  OFFER  HE  CAN'T  REFUSE:getting there? His best friend Andy Pettitte
has mentioned the possibility of retirement
Roger Clemens still keeps in touch withafter this year (Don't bet on that, though).
buddies Derek Jeter and Jorge Posada, andHouston offers him a chance to stay close to
there were reports that Jeter had his earhome and it lets him skip those pesky road
during the World Baseball Classic. And iftrips. They have already made him a generous
Clemens is looking for a sure bet to get tocontract  offer.  The  odds  are  2:1.
the playoffs, it's been a while since the
Yanks sat out October. Can Clemens return toAfter all that analysis, it must come down to
the Yankees? Probably not. Roger Clemensthis: If you could work closer to home,
already got a Hummer as a retirement gift,travel less, and not have to work as hard,
and you have to figure, after feasting onfor similar money, what would you do? Come
weaker National League number eight hitters,on, this may be Roger Clemens, but it is not
and pitchers' feeble attempts to catch up torocket science. Bet the 2:1 on him returning
his fastball, he might not be dying to faceto the Astros. It may be the best bet
more formidable American League lineups. Ifavailable on the entire website.



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