It s Not Rocket Science

has posted odds offering bettors the chance toJohnson keeps looking his age, can George
predict which Major League Baseball team RogerSteinbrenner make Roger Clemens an offer he can't
Clemens will return to. Clemens is clearly enjoying therefuse? Could happen, but George will never let
attention he is garnering from his four suitors. Let'sClemens skip road trips in fear that all of his stable of
take a look at how Clemens has played this situationsuperstars will demand the same special treatment.
thus far, and how it will play out at the end.At 1:2, this is not a good bet.
THE EASY MARK:FINISH WHERE HE STARTED
Roger Clemens enjoyed opening day in ArlingtonImagine the nostalgic feeling of coming back where
Stadium, sitting next to owner Tom Hicks. Whenyou began your career, and leading that team to a
Clemens was introduced and shown on theWorld Series. What a perfect symmetry to a career.
scoreboard, the fans went crazy. Do the Rangers,Almost like a movie script. Only the impact of leading
who have gone all these years searching for pitching,the Red Sox to a World Series is not nearly what it
really have a shot at Roger Clemens? Well, thewas two years ago. The Red Sox already have had
Rangers are an improved team, with Kevin Millwooda hero who started in their organization come back
leading some young up-and-coming pitchers. And itand lead them to the Promised Land. And that hero
would do wonders for Clemens' legend to ride intowore a bloody Red Sock. How can Clemens possibly
Arlington on his horse and lead them to their firsttop that? Besides, if the Red Sox really get close, Mr.
World Series. Is it going to happen? No. Why wouldSteinbrenner may very well make him an offer he
Clemens pitch in a hitter's park for a team which,can't refuse. At 1:1, I just can't see this as a good
despite their improvements, is not a serious Worldbet.
Series contender? More likely, Roger was payingFINISH WHAT HE STARTED
attention when Tom Hicks bid against himself to signThe first year, Clemens led the Astros to the
Alex Rodriguez to his franchise-crippling $250 millionplayoffs. His second year, he helped them to their
dollar contract. This is exactly the type of guy youfirst World Series. Why not finish what he started?
want to draw into the bidding. has the odds onThe Astros are off to a great start. Besides, the
Clemens going to the Rangers at 6-1. Trust me, it'sMets, Cardinals and, possibly the Phillies, who can you
far longer than that.remotely predict can stop them from at least getting
AN OFFER HE CAN'T REFUSE:there? His best friend Andy Pettitte has mentioned
Roger Clemens still keeps in touch with buddiesthe possibility of retirement after this year (Don't bet
Derek Jeter and Jorge Posada, and there wereon that, though). Houston offers him a chance to
reports that Jeter had his ear during the Worldstay close to home and it lets him skip those pesky
Baseball Classic. And if Clemens is looking for a sureroad trips. They have already made him a generous
bet to get to the playoffs, it's been a while since thecontract offer. The odds are 2:1.
Yanks sat out October. Can Clemens return to theAfter all that analysis, it must come down to this: If
Yankees? Probably not. Roger Clemens already got ayou could work closer to home, travel less, and not
Hummer as a retirement gift, and you have to figure,have to work as hard, for similar money, what would
after feasting on weaker National League numberyou do? Come on, this may be Roger Clemens, but it
eight hitters, and pitchers' feeble attempts to catchis not rocket science. Bet the 2:1 on him returning to
up to his fastball, he might not be dying to face morethe Astros. It may be the best bet available on the
formidable American League lineups. If Randyentire website.